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Dr Mattox's predictionsDunn Matthew Dr. (RJC) ACCIDENT & EMERGENCY - SwarkHosp-TR email@example.com
Mon, 30 Dec 2002 09:33:16 -0000
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Well, I'm not a betting man; and this is not 100% relevant to the list, but I guess it's the season for messing about a bit so (leaving aside issues that are relevant mainly to the US) if we were running a sweepstake... > > 1. Three more drugs to control mediator storm will > be approved by the FDA And within another 2 years will be shown to be ineffective in effectiveness studies. This will not reduce their use. > > 2. The United States will find itself "on the > ground" on three fronts: > Iraq, North Korea, and Afghanistan. It will continue to > have presence in > many other countries of the world I'd bet against significant overt ground force involvement in North Korea myself. > > 3. Despite the widespread emphasis on vaccinia > vaccinations, no cases of > traditional small pox will be reported. Some outbreaks > of vaccinia vaccination resistant, small pox like chimera diseases will > be reported. Yes > 5. Nursing schools will increase enrollment by 50% > to increase nurses in the pipeline 50% actual increase in one year seems a bit optimistic > > 6. Several central American countries will export > bilingual nurses to the > United States in order to assist in the nursing shortage. Also South and East Asian and Pacific nations. BTW, Pret's comments on also bilingual Canadians and being handed over to a government that constitutionally espouse torture: is this the US or Canadian government you mean? > > 9. Palestine will have a new political leader > I'd stick my neck out and say this won't happen in 2003 (at least in the sense of a leader generally recognised by the Palestinian people). > > 12. HIV infections will be reported to exist in >50% of > the inhabitants of > sub-Saharan Africa > Too pessimistic. > 13. Iatrogenic injury and health problems will increase > both from systems, > nurses, physicians, and allied health personnel, with >80% of > these sentinel > events occurring during times of "handoff." > > 14. Numerous trauma centers will either close or be on > regular diversion or driveby > Too easy. Bound to happen. Could run a sweepstake on the exact number, though. > 15. A new field of "surgical-hospitalist" who do > procedures on the floor, do > not operate, punch a clock, work at night, and have surgical > training will be announced. I think this needs clarification. Personally I'm not sure what you mean. Is this, as suggested elsewhere, a paramedical 'Surgeons assistant'; is it a MD with an understanding of surgery but less training in actual operating skills than a surgeon providing pre- and post- op care; or is it something else entirely? Matt Dunn Warwick This email has been scanned for viruses by NAI AVD however we are unable to accept responsibility for any damage caused by the contents. The opinions expressed in this email represent the views of the sender, not South Warwickshire General Hospitals NHS Trust unless explicitly stated. If you have received this email in error, please notify the sender.